Live trading journey · Sensex V2B + Gold Mini · one ₹6,00,000 account

Where we are, and where this is going

Current capital
₹644,246
+₹44,246  ·  +7.37% from ₹6,00,000
Started16 Aug 2026
Trading days10
Weeks completed2
Peak capital₹652,678
Current drawdown−1.29%
Round trips31

Equity curve

Solid line is real money. The three dashed lines are the projected median paths — they are not promises, and the spread between them is the honest width of what nine weeks of evidence can tell us.

₹5.8L₹7.3L₹8.7L₹10.1L₹11.5Lstart ₹6LSepOctNovDecJan
Actual live equityStrongBaseConservative

Profit milestones

GoalTarget capitalProfit neededStrongBase expectationConservativeActualStatus
+10%₹660,000₹60,00002 Sep 202603 Sep 202604 Sep 2026In progress
+20%₹720,000₹120,00018 Sep 202630 Sep 202608 Oct 2026Upcoming
+30%₹780,000₹180,00007 Oct 202629 Oct 202612 Nov 2026Upcoming
+40%₹840,000₹240,00023 Oct 202625 Nov 202616 Dec 2026Upcoming
+50%₹900,000₹300,00011 Nov 202621 Dec 202615 Jan 2027Upcoming
+75%₹1,050,000₹450,00021 Dec 202615 Feb 2027beyond 14 moUpcoming
+100%₹1,200,000₹600,00021 Jan 202723 Mar 2027beyond 14 moUpcoming

A milestone is only ever marked achieved from the live record, on the day the account actually crossed it. Projected dates are frozen and are never rewritten to match what happened.

Weekly performance — live only

WeekPeriodDaysSensexGold MiniProfitStartEndReturn
W117 Aug – 21 Aug5+₹1,886+₹5,501+₹7,387₹600,000₹607,387+1.23%
W224 Aug – 28 Aug5+₹60,175−₹23,316+₹36,859₹607,387₹644,246+6.07%

Monthly performance — live only

MonthDaysStartEndProfitReturnWorst drawdown
Aug 202610₹600,000₹644,246+₹44,246+7.37%−1.47%

Projection versus actual

The projection was frozen on 30 August 2026, so it starts at week 3. Weeks 1 and 2 are shown for the record. One week either way means very little — the projected weekly spread is roughly ±6%, so only a sustained gap matters.

WeekProjected (base, cumulative)Actual (cumulative)DifferenceReading
W1before projection+1.23%baseline period
W2before projection+7.37%baseline period
Current standing

Tracking starts with the first full week after 31 August. The projection begins from today's ₹644,246, so there is nothing to compare yet — weeks 1 and 2 above are the live record that came before it.

Growth projection

Conservative
edge decays to a quarter of what nine weeks measured
Median week+0.64%
Positive weeks55%
Typical week range-2.51% to +3.81%
12-month capital₹878,432
Expected worst drawdown−20.5%
Base expectation
half the measured edge survives — the standard out-of-sample haircut
Median week+1.47%
Positive weeks63%
Typical week range-1.67% to +4.70%
12-month capital₹1,255,323
Expected worst drawdown−13.3%
Strong
the forward book repeats in full
Median week+3.19%
Positive weeks75%
Typical week range+0.05% to +6.49%
12-month capital₹2,074,557
Expected worst drawdown−7.7%
Week by week
Median projected capital. Real weeks will not follow a smooth line — roughly one week in three is expected to be negative.
WeekEndingConservativeBaseStrongBase return
W304 Sep 2026₹647,650₹653,479₹665,314+8.9%
W411 Sep 2026₹651,546₹662,877₹687,011+10.5%
W518 Sep 2026₹654,050₹672,499₹709,925+12.1%
W625 Sep 2026₹658,362₹683,682₹733,090+13.9%
W702 Oct 2026₹662,687₹693,537₹757,714+15.6%
W809 Oct 2026₹666,139₹705,403₹782,120+17.6%
W916 Oct 2026₹667,819₹714,725₹802,691+19.1%
W1023 Oct 2026₹673,392₹725,712₹826,885+21.0%
W1130 Oct 2026₹679,297₹737,519₹850,056+22.9%
W1206 Nov 2026₹683,787₹746,145₹872,402+24.4%
W1313 Nov 2026₹686,619₹757,792₹895,601+26.3%
W1420 Nov 2026₹694,424₹769,676₹920,471+28.3%
W1527 Nov 2026₹697,425₹778,795₹943,175+29.8%
W1604 Dec 2026₹701,238₹786,845₹968,481+31.1%
W1711 Dec 2026₹704,780₹800,264₹991,117+33.4%
W1818 Dec 2026₹708,888₹811,908₹1,010,354+35.3%
W1925 Dec 2026₹712,156₹822,660₹1,040,204+37.1%
W2001 Jan 2027₹719,174₹833,396₹1,070,129+38.9%
W2108 Jan 2027₹723,733₹842,970₹1,099,616+40.5%
W2215 Jan 2027₹727,445₹854,551₹1,130,740+42.4%
W2322 Jan 2027₹731,519₹863,535₹1,157,553+43.9%
W2429 Jan 2027₹737,033₹874,301₹1,189,396+45.7%
W2505 Feb 2027₹742,927₹882,771₹1,216,310+47.1%
W2612 Feb 2027₹748,189₹894,458₹1,246,068+49.1%
W2719 Feb 2027₹753,564₹907,413₹1,275,122+51.2%
W2826 Feb 2027₹756,749₹919,252₹1,304,163+53.2%
W2905 Mar 2027₹758,231₹932,594₹1,329,409+55.4%
W3012 Mar 2027₹762,751₹941,972₹1,357,041+57.0%
W3119 Mar 2027₹769,620₹953,010₹1,387,452+58.8%
W3226 Mar 2027₹773,361₹963,601₹1,417,947+60.6%

Doubling the capital, and the drawdowns on the way

+100% · ₹12,00,000
Strong21 Jan 2027
Base expectation23 Mar 2027
Conservativebeyond 14 months
Reached within 14 months62% of paths
Drawdown to expect (base case)
Typical worst in 12 months−13.3%
1 year in 4 reaches−23.8%
1 year in 10 reaches−42.7%
Chance of a >15% drawdown44%
Current drawdown−1.29%
If a drawdown arrives

A drawdown of 10–15%% is a normal feature of this system, not a failure of it. The risk study measured Sensex recovering its worst drawdown in about 8 sessions and Gold Mini in about 30. Review the strategy only if the account falls more than 20%% below its peak — that is the level the evidence says should not happen in ordinary operation.

How these numbers were made

  • Live figures come only from the platform’s LIVE trade rows, net of statutory charges. Paper and forward-test results are never counted as account growth.
  • Projections come from 9 weeks of forward testing plus 10 live sessions, resampled whole days at a time so that losing runs stay realistic. Each simulated path also resamples the trade book, so the uncertainty in the edge itself is priced in.
  • The haircut. Strategies almost always earn less live than in testing, and Gold Mini already has. The base case therefore assumes only half the measured edge survives; conservative assumes a quarter.
  • Compounding is partial, by design. Sensex risks 1.5%% of current equity, so it compounds — but only until MAX_LOTS 6 binds at roughly ₹6.55 lakh, which is about now. Gold Mini is one fixed lot. Beyond that point growth is closer to linear than exponential until the lot cap is revisited.
  • Gold Mini is priced at its real cost — the measured ₹4,062 per stop, not the nominal ₹3,000.